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地政学·イラン

ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？

Market icon
地政学·イラン

ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？

はい

37% chance
Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

はい

37% chance
Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite a drone strike targeting Nechirvan Barzani's residence in Duhok reported on March 28, which prompted a joint Iraqi-KRG security probe and condemnations from Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani and French President Emmanuel Macron, the Kurdistan Regional Government President remains actively engaged in diplomacy. Barzani recently reaffirmed KRG neutrality amid Iran tensions, including after a March missile incident killing Peshmerga forces, and urged Baghdad to address armed groups. With no announcements of resignation, parliamentary election delays persisting since 2024, and no imminent presidential vote, trader consensus at 63.4% "No" reflects his entrenched role as key interlocutor with neighbors Iran and Turkey, though regional instability sustains moderate uncertainty.

Despite a drone strike targeting Nechirvan Barzani's residence in Duhok reported on March 28, which prompted a joint Iraqi-KRG security probe and condemnations from Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani and French President Emmanuel Macron, the Kurdistan Regional Government President remains actively engaged in diplomacy. Barzani recently reaffirmed KRG neutrality amid Iran tensions, including after a March missile incident killing Peshmerga forces, and urged Baghdad to address armed groups. With no announcements of resignation, parliamentary election delays persisting since 2024, and no imminent presidential vote, trader consensus at 63.4% "No" reflects his entrenched role as key interlocutor with neighbors Iran and Turkey, though regional instability sustains moderate uncertainty.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite a drone strike targeting Nechirvan Barzani's residence in Duhok reported on March 28, which prompted a joint Iraqi-KRG security probe and condemnations from Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani and French President Emmanuel Macron, the Kurdistan Regional Government President remains actively engaged in diplomacy. Barzani recently reaffirmed KRG neutrality amid Iran tensions, including after a March missile incident killing Peshmerga forces, and urged Baghdad to address armed groups. With no announcements of resignation, parliamentary election delays persisting since 2024, and no imminent presidential vote, trader consensus at 63.4% "No" reflects his entrenched role as key interlocutor with neighbors Iran and Turkey, though regional instability sustains moderate uncertainty.

Despite a drone strike targeting Nechirvan Barzani's residence in Duhok reported on March 28, which prompted a joint Iraqi-KRG security probe and condemnations from Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani and French President Emmanuel Macron, the Kurdistan Regional Government President remains actively engaged in diplomacy. Barzani recently reaffirmed KRG neutrality amid Iran tensions, including after a March missile incident killing Peshmerga forces, and urged Baghdad to address armed groups. With no announcements of resignation, parliamentary election delays persisting since 2024, and no imminent presidential vote, trader consensus at 63.4% "No" reflects his entrenched role as key interlocutor with neighbors Iran and Turkey, though regional instability sustains moderate uncertainty.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ニチルヴァン・バルザニがクルディスタン地域政府大統領を退任？」で37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？」は$12Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ニチルヴァン・バルザニがクルディスタン地域政府大統領を退任？」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネチルバン・バルザニがクルド自治政府の大統領に就任？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。