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政治·プライマリ

アイダホ州共和党上院予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

アイダホ州共和党上院予備選

新規
Polymarket
新規

ジム・リッシュ

$8,457 Vol.

97%

ジョー・エバンズ

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus as the Idaho Republican Senate primary winner on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2009, overwhelming fundraising advantage with nearly $4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals, and lack of competitive polling or endorsements for opponents Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, or Josh Roy. In Idaho's closed GOP primary, Risch's established name recognition and institutional support solidify his position amid a quiet campaign cycle post-filing deadline on February 27. While general election polls highlight independent Todd Achilles' competitiveness, they do not impact the primary; realistic challenges would require a late-breaking Risch scandal, sudden challenger funding surge, or high turnout among anti-incumbent voters before early voting begins April 27.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$8,457
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus as the Idaho Republican Senate primary winner on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2009, overwhelming fundraising advantage with nearly $4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals, and lack of competitive polling or endorsements for opponents Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, or Josh Roy. In Idaho's closed GOP primary, Risch's established name recognition and institutional support solidify his position amid a quiet campaign cycle post-filing deadline on February 27. While general election polls highlight independent Todd Achilles' competitiveness, they do not impact the primary; realistic challenges would require a late-breaking Risch scandal, sudden challenger funding surge, or high turnout among anti-incumbent voters before early voting begins April 27.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$8,457
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「アイダホ州共和党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジム・リッシュ」で97%、次いで「ジョー・エバンズ」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アイダホ州共和党上院予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 3, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アイダホ州共和党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アイダホ州共和党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジム・リッシュ」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョー・エバンズ」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アイダホ州共和党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。