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選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

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選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 30%

Kathy Dolter 8%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 30%

Kathy Dolter 8%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James

$1,982 Vol.

62%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$0 Vol.

30%

Kathy Dolter

$1,069 Vol.

8%

Guy Morgan

$0 Vol.

3%

Don Primus

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Lindsay James」で62%、次いで「Clint Twedt-Ball」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Lindsay James」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Clint Twedt-Ball」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。