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政治·プライマリ

AZ -01共和党予選優勝者

icon for AZ -01共和党予選優勝者
政治·プライマリ

AZ -01共和党予選優勝者

ジェイ・フィーリー 78%

ジョセフ・チャプリック 12.3%

マット・グレス <1%

ジェイソン・デューイ <1%

Polymarket

$408,746 Vol.

ジェイ・フィーリー 78%

ジョセフ・チャプリック 12.3%

マット・グレス <1%

ジェイソン・デューイ <1%

Polymarket

$408,746 Vol.

ジェイ・フィーリー

$8,125 Vol.

78%

ジョセフ・チャプリック

$10,207 Vol.

12%

マット・グレス

$48,944 Vol.

1%

ジェイソン・デューイ

$3,232 Vol.

<1%

ジョン・トロボー

$3,665 Vol.

<1%

デリック・ガレゴ

$3,906 Vol.

<1%

カイトリン・パーリントン

$10,182 Vol.

<1%

トッド・グラハム

$8,068 Vol.

<1%

カリ・レイク

$7,333 Vol.

<1%

ジーナ・スウォボダ

$5,053 Vol.

<1%

マーク・ブロノビッチ

$61,576 Vol.

<1%

ポール・リーブス

$222,735 Vol.

<1%

ムシェル・ウジェンティ＝リタ

$4,729 Vol.

<1%

ブランドン・サワーズ

$10,992 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary market at 77.5% due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and Feely's high name recognition as a former NFL kicker and CBS Sports analyst. Feely switched into the race from another district, drawing additional support from figures such as Danica Patrick while consolidating backing in this open seat contest after incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 10.8%, relying on his legislative experience and endorsements like that from former state Senator Michelle Ugenti-Rita, though he lacks comparable national visibility. The remaining candidates, including businessman John Trobough and several others, register below 1% amid limited fundraising and profile. With the July 21 primary two months away, trader sentiment emphasizes Feely's structural advantages in a crowded field where early momentum and high-profile alignment often determine outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$408,746
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary market at 77.5% due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and Feely's high name recognition as a former NFL kicker and CBS Sports analyst. Feely switched into the race from another district, drawing additional support from figures such as Danica Patrick while consolidating backing in this open seat contest after incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 10.8%, relying on his legislative experience and endorsements like that from former state Senator Michelle Ugenti-Rita, though he lacks comparable national visibility. The remaining candidates, including businessman John Trobough and several others, register below 1% amid limited fundraising and profile. With the July 21 primary two months away, trader sentiment emphasizes Feely's structural advantages in a crowded field where early momentum and high-profile alignment often determine outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$408,746
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「AZ -01共和党予選優勝者」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジェイ・フィーリー」で78%、次いで「ジョセフ・チャプリック」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AZ -01共和党予選優勝者」は$408.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AZ -01共和党予選優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AZ -01共和党予選優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジェイ・フィーリー」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョセフ・チャプリック」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AZ -01共和党予選優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。