Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 1st congressional district, scheduled for July 21, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his name recognition as a former NFL player and sports commentator along with a Trump endorsement that has consolidated early support. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative who resigned his legislative seat in March to focus on the race, remains the clearest challenger at roughly one-quarter of the market but trails in fundraising and has drawn less broad backing. Recent candidate forums in early May, where several contenders appeared while Chaplik opted out, have reinforced Feely’s positioning ahead of the primary. Lower-polling candidates such as John Trobough and Jason Duey show limited momentum, consistent with weaker visibility and resources in this competitive district previously held by a retiring incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェイ・フィーリー 71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック 25.6%
ジーナ・スウォボダ 1.1%
ジェイソン・デューイ 1.0%
$405,695 Vol.
$405,695 Vol.
ジェイ・フィーリー
71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック
26%
ジーナ・スウォボダ
1%
ジェイソン・デューイ
1%
マット・グレス
1%
ジョン・トロボー
<1%
デリック・ガレゴ
<1%
カイトリン・パーリントン
<1%
トッド・グラハム
<1%
カリ・レイク
<1%
マーク・ブロノビッチ
<1%
ポール・リーブス
<1%
ムシェル・ウジェンティ＝リタ
<1%
ブランドン・サワーズ
<1%
ジェイ・フィーリー 71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック 25.6%
ジーナ・スウォボダ 1.1%
ジェイソン・デューイ 1.0%
$405,695 Vol.
$405,695 Vol.
ジェイ・フィーリー
71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック
26%
ジーナ・スウォボダ
1%
ジェイソン・デューイ
1%
マット・グレス
1%
ジョン・トロボー
<1%
デリック・ガレゴ
<1%
カイトリン・パーリントン
<1%
トッド・グラハム
<1%
カリ・レイク
<1%
マーク・ブロノビッチ
<1%
ポール・リーブス
<1%
ムシェル・ウジェンティ＝リタ
<1%
ブランドン・サワーズ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Arizona’s open 1st congressional district, scheduled for July 21, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his name recognition as a former NFL player and sports commentator along with a Trump endorsement that has consolidated early support. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative who resigned his legislative seat in March to focus on the race, remains the clearest challenger at roughly one-quarter of the market but trails in fundraising and has drawn less broad backing. Recent candidate forums in early May, where several contenders appeared while Chaplik opted out, have reinforced Feely’s positioning ahead of the primary. Lower-polling candidates such as John Trobough and Jason Duey show limited momentum, consistent with weaker visibility and resources in this competitive district previously held by a retiring incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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