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icon for UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

ベン・マカダムズ 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

リバン・モハメド 6.0%

ブライアン・キング <1%

Polymarket

$29,032 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

リバン・モハメド 6.0%

ブライアン・キング <1%

Polymarket

$29,032 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ

$7,748 Vol.

75%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Vol.

20%

リバン・モハメド

$657 Vol.

6%

ブライアン・キング

$1,112 Vol.

1%

エリン・メンデンホール

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

ルス・エスカミーリャ

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

キャロライン・グライヒ

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

キャスリーン・リーベ

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

ケール・ウェストン

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

ジェニー・ウィルソン

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

マイケル・ファレル

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, prior congressional experience, and endorsements like Kathleen Riebe's April dropout backing him over state Sen. Nate Blouin's "volatile" image. Blouin's 19.5% reflects progressive endorsements from figures like Rep. Pramila Jayapal amid backlash from resurfaced decade-old posts mocking Latter-day Saints and crude remarks, yet he persists with attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Liban Mohamed's 6.2% stems from his April 26 convention upset via ranked-choice voting, boosting his newcomer profile but splitting progressive support in this new blue-leaning district from court-ordered redistricting. Early polls showed McAdams ahead, with recent X chatter highlighting vote fragmentation favoring the frontrunner ahead of mail-in ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$29,032
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, prior congressional experience, and endorsements like Kathleen Riebe's April dropout backing him over state Sen. Nate Blouin's "volatile" image. Blouin's 19.5% reflects progressive endorsements from figures like Rep. Pramila Jayapal amid backlash from resurfaced decade-old posts mocking Latter-day Saints and crude remarks, yet he persists with attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Liban Mohamed's 6.2% stems from his April 26 convention upset via ranked-choice voting, boosting his newcomer profile but splitting progressive support in this new blue-leaning district from court-ordered redistricting. Early polls showed McAdams ahead, with recent X chatter highlighting vote fragmentation favoring the frontrunner ahead of mail-in ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$29,032
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベン・マカダムズ」で75%、次いで「Nate Blouin」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$29Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベン・マカダムズ」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Nate Blouin」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。