The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダグラス・ラムスデン 100.0%
ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン <1%
リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン <1%
ジョー・ハート <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.

ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン
いいえ

リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン
いいえ

ダグラス・ラムスデン
はい

ジョー・ハート
いいえ

ヌルル・ホック・アリ
いいえ

メル・サリバン
いいえ

デイビッド・バランタイン
いいえ
ダグラス・ラムスデン 100.0%
ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン <1%
リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン <1%
ジョー・ハート <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.

ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン
いいえ

リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン
いいえ

ダグラス・ラムスデン
はい

ジョー・ハート
いいえ

ヌルル・ホック・アリ
いいえ

メル・サリバン
いいえ

デイビッド・バランタイン
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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