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icon for 2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者

2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者

icon for 2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者

2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者

ダグラス・ラムスデン 100.0%

ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン <1%

リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン <1%

ジョー・ハート <1%

Polymarket

$31,419 Vol.

ダグラス・ラムスデン 100.0%

ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン <1%

リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン <1%

ジョー・ハート <1%

Polymarket

$31,419 Vol.

icon for ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン

ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン

$1,280 Vol.

いいえ

icon for リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン

リチャード・ゴードン・トムソン

$11,226 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ダグラス・ラムスデン

ダグラス・ラムスデン

$13,531 Vol.

はい

icon for ジョー・ハート

ジョー・ハート

$1,403 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ヌルル・ホック・アリ

ヌルル・ホック・アリ

$1,461 Vol.

いいえ

icon for メル・サリバン

メル・サリバン

$1,266 Vol.

いいえ

icon for デイビッド・バランタイン

デイビッド・バランタイン

$1,253 Vol.

いいえ

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
音量
$31,419
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
音量
$31,419
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ダグラス・ラムスデン」で100%、次いで「ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者」は$31.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ダグラス・ラムスデン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョーグ・シェルトン=エクスタイン」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年アバディーンサウス補欠選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。