Recent independent polls from late March, such as Medián (March 17-20) and 21 Research Centre (March 23-28), indicate Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 19-23 points among decided voters, with Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz's 35-37%, driven by strong youth support and large rallies like the March 15 national march. Fidesz-aligned surveys, including Alapjogokért (March 28-29), show narrower gaps or incumbent advantages at 8 points. Hungary's mixed system—106 single-member districts won by plurality and 93 proportional seats—favors cohesive vote consolidation, positioning Tisza for potential majority gains if undecideds (20-26%) break favorably. The April 12 election looms as the decisive event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$82,183 Vol.
2026/04/12
90+
79%
100+
68%
110+
64%
120+
50%
130+
27%
$82,183 Vol.
90+
$13,735 Vol.
79%
100+
$17,036 Vol.
68%
110+
$19,197 Vol.
64%
120+
$5,480 Vol.
50%
130+
$26,734 Vol.
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent independent polls from late March, such as Medián (March 17-20) and 21 Research Centre (March 23-28), indicate Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 19-23 points among decided voters, with Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz's 35-37%, driven by strong youth support and large rallies like the March 15 national march. Fidesz-aligned surveys, including Alapjogokért (March 28-29), show narrower gaps or incumbent advantages at 8 points. Hungary's mixed system—106 single-member districts won by plurality and 93 proportional seats—favors cohesive vote consolidation, positioning Tisza for potential majority gains if undecideds (20-26%) break favorably. The April 12 election looms as the decisive event.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
音量
$82,183終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent independent polls from late March, such as Medián (March 17-20) and 21 Research Centre (March 23-28), indicate Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 19-23 points among decided voters, with Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz's 35-37%, driven by strong youth support and large rallies like the March 15 national march. Fidesz-aligned surveys, including Alapjogokért (March 28-29), show narrower gaps or incumbent advantages at 8 points. Hungary's mixed system—106 single-member districts won by plurality and 93 proportional seats—favors cohesive vote consolidation, positioning Tisza for potential majority gains if undecideds (20-26%) break favorably. The April 12 election looms as the decisive event.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$82,183終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent independent polls from late March, such as Medián (March 17-20) and 21 Research Centre (March 23-28), indicate Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 19-23 points among decided voters, with Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz's 35-37%, driven by strong youth support and large rallies like the March 15 national march. Fidesz-aligned surveys, including Alapjogokért (March 28-29), show narrower gaps or incumbent advantages at 8 points. Hungary's mixed system—106 single-member districts won by plurality and 93 proportional seats—favors cohesive vote consolidation, positioning Tisza for potential majority gains if undecideds (20-26%) break favorably. The April 12 election looms as the decisive event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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