Waymo traders are pricing a 49% implied probability for operations in 12+ cities by June 30, driven by the company's rapid robotaxi expansions, including the June 5 launch of direct Waymo One service in Austin—its fourth major market after Phoenix metro, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Recent service area growth in Los Angeles (now spanning Santa Monica to Koreatown) and San Francisco, fueled by Alphabet's $5 billion funding infusion in May and smoother regulatory approvals compared to rival Cruise's setbacks, has boosted confidence in hitting double-digit city counts if sub-metro areas like Chandler, Tempe, and Mesa are tallied distinctly. Upcoming catalysts include potential further LA/Phoenix boundary extensions and Atlanta testing previews, though timelines remain fluid amid safety incident scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日12以上 49%
11 22%
10 14%
≤5 7.0%
$131,533 Vol.
$131,533 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
7%
6
3%
7
3%
8
4%
9
3%
10
14%
11
22%
12以上
49%
12以上 49%
11 22%
10 14%
≤5 7.0%
$131,533 Vol.
$131,533 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$40,260 Vol.
7%
6
$14,991 Vol.
3%
7
$10,882 Vol.
3%
8
$11,614 Vol.
4%
9
$14,985 Vol.
3%
10
$9,315 Vol.
14%
11
$10,544 Vol.
22%
12以上
$18,942 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo traders are pricing a 49% implied probability for operations in 12+ cities by June 30, driven by the company's rapid robotaxi expansions, including the June 5 launch of direct Waymo One service in Austin—its fourth major market after Phoenix metro, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Recent service area growth in Los Angeles (now spanning Santa Monica to Koreatown) and San Francisco, fueled by Alphabet's $5 billion funding infusion in May and smoother regulatory approvals compared to rival Cruise's setbacks, has boosted confidence in hitting double-digit city counts if sub-metro areas like Chandler, Tempe, and Mesa are tallied distinctly. Upcoming catalysts include potential further LA/Phoenix boundary extensions and Atlanta testing previews, though timelines remain fluid amid safety incident scrutiny.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
音量
$131,533終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo traders are pricing a 49% implied probability for operations in 12+ cities by June 30, driven by the company's rapid robotaxi expansions, including the June 5 launch of direct Waymo One service in Austin—its fourth major market after Phoenix metro, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Recent service area growth in Los Angeles (now spanning Santa Monica to Koreatown) and San Francisco, fueled by Alphabet's $5 billion funding infusion in May and smoother regulatory approvals compared to rival Cruise's setbacks, has boosted confidence in hitting double-digit city counts if sub-metro areas like Chandler, Tempe, and Mesa are tallied distinctly. Upcoming catalysts include potential further LA/Phoenix boundary extensions and Atlanta testing previews, though timelines remain fluid amid safety incident scrutiny.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$131,533終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo traders are pricing a 49% implied probability for operations in 12+ cities by June 30, driven by the company's rapid robotaxi expansions, including the June 5 launch of direct Waymo One service in Austin—its fourth major market after Phoenix metro, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Recent service area growth in Los Angeles (now spanning Santa Monica to Koreatown) and San Francisco, fueled by Alphabet's $5 billion funding infusion in May and smoother regulatory approvals compared to rival Cruise's setbacks, has boosted confidence in hitting double-digit city counts if sub-metro areas like Chandler, Tempe, and Mesa are tallied distinctly. Upcoming catalysts include potential further LA/Phoenix boundary extensions and Atlanta testing previews, though timelines remain fluid amid safety incident scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問