**Observed peak temperatures of 17.2°C at MetService's Kelburn station and aligning preliminary data from Wunderground for Wellington International Airport (NZWN)—the market's resolution source—have locked in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 17°C as the highest on April 1, 2026.** A building high-pressure ridge ushered in settled autumn conditions with moderate southerly winds that capped midday readings around 15.6°C, preventing further warming past peak heating hours. This aligns with Wellington's April climatology, where daily highs average 17°C amid typical cool-season southerlies. Finalized Wunderground history data, expected post-midnight UTC, could theoretically challenge this if airport sensors log an overlooked 18°C spike from micro-urban heating, though current trajectories and model consensus make such revisions highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
17°C 100.0%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
20°C以上 <1%
$267,349 Vol.
$267,349 Vol.
17°C
100%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
20°C以上 <1%
$267,349 Vol.
$267,349 Vol.
17°C
100%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Observed peak temperatures of 17.2°C at MetService's Kelburn station and aligning preliminary data from Wunderground for Wellington International Airport (NZWN)—the market's resolution source—have locked in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 17°C as the highest on April 1, 2026.** A building high-pressure ridge ushered in settled autumn conditions with moderate southerly winds that capped midday readings around 15.6°C, preventing further warming past peak heating hours. This aligns with Wellington's April climatology, where daily highs average 17°C amid typical cool-season southerlies. Finalized Wunderground history data, expected post-midnight UTC, could theoretically challenge this if airport sensors log an overlooked 18°C spike from micro-urban heating, though current trajectories and model consensus make such revisions highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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