MetService, New Zealand's national meteorological service, forecasts a high of 17°C for Wellington Central on April 1 under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, with morning cloud clearing to fine conditions and southerly winds developing—aligning closely with current mid-afternoon observations of 15.6°C, low humidity, and no precipitation. This model consensus, bolstered by yesterday's 17.2°C peak at Kelburn station under similar synoptic patterns, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in typical autumnal moderation. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting late-afternoon solar heating to 18°C or higher before sunset at 7:16pm, though persistent cool southerlies (15 km/h gusting 26 km/h) render this improbable; final Kelburn measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
17°C 100.0%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
20°C以上 <1%
$267,375 Vol.
$267,375 Vol.
2026/04/01
17°C
100%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
20°C以上 <1%
$267,375 Vol.
$267,375 Vol.
2026/04/01
17°C
$28,586 Vol.
100%
18℃
$22,574 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20,691 Vol.
<1%
20°C以上
$19,461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService, New Zealand's national meteorological service, forecasts a high of 17°C for Wellington Central on April 1 under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, with morning cloud clearing to fine conditions and southerly winds developing—aligning closely with current mid-afternoon observations of 15.6°C, low humidity, and no precipitation. This model consensus, bolstered by yesterday's 17.2°C peak at Kelburn station under similar synoptic patterns, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in typical autumnal moderation. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting late-afternoon solar heating to 18°C or higher before sunset at 7:16pm, though persistent cool southerlies (15 km/h gusting 26 km/h) render this improbable; final Kelburn measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
音量
$267,375終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService, New Zealand's national meteorological service, forecasts a high of 17°C for Wellington Central on April 1 under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, with morning cloud clearing to fine conditions and southerly winds developing—aligning closely with current mid-afternoon observations of 15.6°C, low humidity, and no precipitation. This model consensus, bolstered by yesterday's 17.2°C peak at Kelburn station under similar synoptic patterns, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in typical autumnal moderation. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting late-afternoon solar heating to 18°C or higher before sunset at 7:16pm, though persistent cool southerlies (15 km/h gusting 26 km/h) render this improbable; final Kelburn measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$267,375終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETMetService, New Zealand's national meteorological service, forecasts a high of 17°C for Wellington Central on April 1 under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, with morning cloud clearing to fine conditions and southerly winds developing—aligning closely with current mid-afternoon observations of 15.6°C, low humidity, and no precipitation. This model consensus, bolstered by yesterday's 17.2°C peak at Kelburn station under similar synoptic patterns, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting traders' confidence in typical autumnal moderation. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting late-afternoon solar heating to 18°C or higher before sunset at 7:16pm, though persistent cool southerlies (15 km/h gusting 26 km/h) render this improbable; final Kelburn measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問