National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high near 86°F today, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering south-southeasterly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air following the warmest March on record at DFW airport. Morning observations confirm rapid warming, with temperatures climbing from 66°F near sunrise to 79°F by noon amid mostly sunny skies after initial clouds, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance. This underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of peak heating potential before evening thunderstorms arrive. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected storm line capping daytime highs below 84°F, though probabilities remain low per current NWS outlooks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
84°F以上 98.0%
82〜83°F 3.5%
80~81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$305,672 Vol.
$305,672 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
1%
82〜83°F
3%
84°F以上
98%
84°F以上 98.0%
82〜83°F 3.5%
80~81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$305,672 Vol.
$305,672 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
1%
82〜83°F
3%
84°F以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high near 86°F today, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering south-southeasterly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air following the warmest March on record at DFW airport. Morning observations confirm rapid warming, with temperatures climbing from 66°F near sunrise to 79°F by noon amid mostly sunny skies after initial clouds, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance. This underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability for 84°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of peak heating potential before evening thunderstorms arrive. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected storm line capping daytime highs below 84°F, though probabilities remain low per current NWS outlooks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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