Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 67% in the FL-13 House race, reflecting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's strong fundraising history—over $550,000 raised last cycle—and proven appeal in this Pinellas County battleground district, where she secured reelection in 2024. Democratic odds at 33% have risen following retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's entry and her $561,000 haul in six weeks, fueling optimism amid Florida Democrats' recent special election flips of two GOP state legislative seats on economic messaging. With primaries on August 18, 2026, and no district-specific polls yet, the race remains fluid ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
68%
民主党
30%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$145 Vol.
68%
民主党
$0 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 67% in the FL-13 House race, reflecting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's strong fundraising history—over $550,000 raised last cycle—and proven appeal in this Pinellas County battleground district, where she secured reelection in 2024. Democratic odds at 33% have risen following retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's entry and her $561,000 haul in six weeks, fueling optimism amid Florida Democrats' recent special election flips of two GOP state legislative seats on economic messaging. With primaries on August 18, 2026, and no district-specific polls yet, the race remains fluid ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$145終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 67% in the FL-13 House race, reflecting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's strong fundraising history—over $550,000 raised last cycle—and proven appeal in this Pinellas County battleground district, where she secured reelection in 2024. Democratic odds at 33% have risen following retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's entry and her $561,000 haul in six weeks, fueling optimism amid Florida Democrats' recent special election flips of two GOP state legislative seats on economic messaging. With primaries on August 18, 2026, and no district-specific polls yet, the race remains fluid ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$145終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 67% in the FL-13 House race, reflecting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's strong fundraising history—over $550,000 raised last cycle—and proven appeal in this Pinellas County battleground district, where she secured reelection in 2024. Democratic odds at 33% have risen following retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's entry and her $561,000 haul in six weeks, fueling optimism amid Florida Democrats' recent special election flips of two GOP state legislative seats on economic messaging. With primaries on August 18, 2026, and no district-specific polls yet, the race remains fluid ahead of the November general election.
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