Market icon

イスラエルは1月31日までにレバノンで大規模な地上攻撃を開始するか?

はい

5% chance

$75,745 出来高

ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
取引量
$75,745
終了日
Jan 31, 2026
作成日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

イスラエルは1月31日までにレバノンで大規模な地上攻撃を開始するか?

はい

5% chance

$75,745 出来高

について

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
取引量
$75,745
終了日
Jan 31, 2026
作成日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

外部リンクに注意してください。