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テクノロジー·AI

Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額

Market icon
テクノロジー·AI

Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額

Jun 30

Dec 31, 2027

Jun 30

Dec 31, 2027

2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.1%

6,000億ドル以上 2.0%

3,000〜4,000億 <1%

1,000〜2,000億ドル <1%

Polymarket

$913,350 Vol.

2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.1%

6,000億ドル以上 2.0%

3,000〜4,000億 <1%

1,000〜2,000億ドル <1%

Polymarket

$913,350 Vol.

1000億ドル未満

$190,474 Vol.

<1%

1,000〜2,000億ドル

$62,782 Vol.

1%

2,000～3,000億ドル

$118,388 Vol.

<1%

3,000〜4,000億

$60,120 Vol.

1%

4,000億～6,000億

$91,015 Vol.

<1%

6,000億ドル以上

$230,914 Vol.

2%

2026年6月30日までにIPOなし

$159,658 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 96.1% implied probability, driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is weighing an IPO as early as Q4 2026—post-deadline—amid preparations like hiring Wilson Sonsini and a $380 billion private valuation from ongoing funding talks. No S-1 filing has surfaced, and typical IPO timelines for large language model developers like Anthropic, backed by Amazon and Google, span months for audited financials and regulatory review, especially with $19 billion annualized revenue run rate but high compute costs pressuring margins. Realistic challenges include accelerated board decisions, favorable market windows, or surprise announcements shifting timelines, though competitive AI dynamics with OpenAI and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety add uncertainty.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 96.1% implied probability, driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is weighing an IPO as early as Q4 2026—post-deadline—amid preparations like hiring Wilson Sonsini and a $380 billion private valuation from ongoing funding talks. No S-1 filing has surfaced, and typical IPO timelines for large language model developers like Anthropic, backed by Amazon and Google, span months for audited financials and regulatory review, especially with $19 billion annualized revenue run rate but high compute costs pressuring margins. Realistic challenges include accelerated board decisions, favorable market windows, or surprise announcements shifting timelines, though competitive AI dynamics with OpenAI and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety add uncertainty.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 96.1% implied probability, driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is weighing an IPO as early as Q4 2026—post-deadline—amid preparations like hiring Wilson Sonsini and a $380 billion private valuation from ongoing funding talks. No S-1 filing has surfaced, and typical IPO timelines for large language model developers like Anthropic, backed by Amazon and Google, span months for audited financials and regulatory review, especially with $19 billion annualized revenue run rate but high compute costs pressuring margins. Realistic challenges include accelerated board decisions, favorable market windows, or surprise announcements shifting timelines, though competitive AI dynamics with OpenAI and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety add uncertainty.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic initial public offering by June 30, 2026, at 96.1% implied probability, driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is weighing an IPO as early as Q4 2026—post-deadline—amid preparations like hiring Wilson Sonsini and a $380 billion private valuation from ongoing funding talks. No S-1 filing has surfaced, and typical IPO timelines for large language model developers like Anthropic, backed by Amazon and Google, span months for audited financials and regulatory review, especially with $19 billion annualized revenue run rate but high compute costs pressuring margins. Realistic challenges include accelerated board decisions, favorable market windows, or surprise announcements shifting timelines, though competitive AI dynamics with OpenAI and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety add uncertainty.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日までにIPOなし」で96%、次いで「6,000億ドル以上」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額」は$913.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Sep 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日までにIPOなし」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6,000億ドル以上」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Anthropic IPOクロージング時価総額」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。