Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 and xAI's Grok 4.3 beta launch the next day have propelled both models into contention for top spots on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard, where arena Elo scores—currently clustered tightly above 1500—define the #1 large language model. These drops follow Meta's Llama 4 variants in early April and build on March standings led by Anthropic ahead of xAI, Google, and OpenAI. Trader sentiment reflects OpenAI's historical dominance and rumors of an imminent GPT-5.3 update with enhanced reasoning, alongside Google's Gemini 3.x scaling. Key watchpoints include developer conferences and benchmark evaluations through June 30 resolution on lmarena.ai's Arena Score tab.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,433,380 Vol.

OpenAI
30%

xAI
13%

アリババ
7%

DeepSeek
7%

Z.ai
6%

Nvidia
5%

Meta
10%

バイドゥ
4%

Mistral
3%

Meituan
3%
$1,433,380 Vol.

OpenAI
30%

xAI
13%

アリババ
7%

DeepSeek
7%

Z.ai
6%

Nvidia
5%

Meta
10%

バイドゥ
4%

Mistral
3%

Meituan
3%
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
マーケット開始日: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 and xAI's Grok 4.3 beta launch the next day have propelled both models into contention for top spots on the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard, where arena Elo scores—currently clustered tightly above 1500—define the #1 large language model. These drops follow Meta's Llama 4 variants in early April and build on March standings led by Anthropic ahead of xAI, Google, and OpenAI. Trader sentiment reflects OpenAI's historical dominance and rumors of an imminent GPT-5.3 update with enhanced reasoning, alongside Google's Gemini 3.x scaling. Key watchpoints include developer conferences and benchmark evaluations through June 30 resolution on lmarena.ai's Arena Score tab.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問