Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 61% for Trump impeachment before January 20, 2029, driven by his announced plans for broad pardons of January 6 defendants and potential retribution against political opponents, which Democratic House leaders like Hakeem Jeffries have flagged as impeachable offenses warranting articles of impeachment. Republicans hold a narrow 220-215 House majority, leaving vulnerability to bipartisan votes or GOP defections amid internal party tensions highlighted by recent cabinet nomination withdrawals, such as Matt Gaetz for attorney general following an ethics committee report. With Congress reconvening January 3 and inauguration looming, upcoming confirmation hearings and executive actions could test party unity and shift probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 61% for Trump impeachment before January 20, 2029, driven by his announced plans for broad pardons of January 6 defendants and potential retribution against political opponents, which Democratic House leaders like Hakeem Jeffries have flagged as impeachable offenses warranting articles of impeachment. Republicans hold a narrow 220-215 House majority, leaving vulnerability to bipartisan votes or GOP defections amid internal party tensions highlighted by recent cabinet nomination withdrawals, such as Matt Gaetz for attorney general following an ethics committee report. With Congress reconvening January 3 and inauguration looming, upcoming confirmation hearings and executive actions could test party unity and shift probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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