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Politique·élections Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17

Market icon
Politique·élections Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17

Cait Conley 54%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 13.8%

Effie Phillips-Staley 11.0%

Polymarket

$54,045 Vol.

Cait Conley 54%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 13.8%

Effie Phillips-Staley 11.0%

Polymarket

$54,045 Vol.

Cait Conley

$25,526 Vol.

54%

Beth Davidson

$21,760 Vol.

20%

Peter Chatzky

$2,580 Vol.

14%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$807 Vol.

11%

Mike Sacks

$840 Vol.

1%

Jessica Reinmann

$719 Vol.

1%

John Sullivan

$1,158 Vol.

1%

John Cappello

$656 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 56% to win New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her special operations background, Hudson Valley roots, and endorsements including the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund in early March, positioning her for electability against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in this swing district. Recent polls, such as a March 19 survey showing Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson up by six points and a late-March update affirming her as best-known, have boosted Davidson to 20%, yet traders discount these amid Conley's national security profile. Peter Chatzky at 13% faces headwinds from a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts, while Effie Phillips-Staley's progressive outreach garners 9%; further polls, fundraising disclosures, and potential consolidations ahead of early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,045
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 56% to win New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her special operations background, Hudson Valley roots, and endorsements including the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund in early March, positioning her for electability against incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in this swing district. Recent polls, such as a March 19 survey showing Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson up by six points and a late-March update affirming her as best-known, have boosted Davidson to 20%, yet traders discount these amid Conley's national security profile. Peter Chatzky at 13% faces headwinds from a March 19 New York Times report on his past bawdy Facebook posts, while Effie Phillips-Staley's progressive outreach garners 9%; further polls, fundraising disclosures, and potential consolidations ahead of early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,045
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Cait Conley » à 54%, suivi de « Beth Davidson » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17 » a généré $54K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17 », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17 » est « Cait Conley » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Beth Davidson » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.