In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former Lakeville Mayor and State Senator Matt Little at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong February DFL CD2 precinct caucus straw poll win (43%) and recent endorsements from National Nurses United and local progressives like Indivisible. State Senator and physician Matt Klein trails closely at 36.5%, buoyed by his legislative experience and backing from groups like 314 Action Fund, while State Representative and union flight attendant Kaela Berg holds 21.6% amid EMILYs List support and a New York Times profile highlighting her outsider appeal. The race remains tight in this open seat—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—due to the pending DFL CD2 convention in early May, where endorsement could consolidate support ahead of the August 11 primary; shifts may hinge on fundraising disclosures, debates, or delegate momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMatt Little 48%
Matt Klein 34%
Kaela Berg 13.0%
$28,188 Vol.
$28,188 Vol.
Matt Little
48%
Matt Klein
34%
Kaela Berg
23%
Matt Little 48%
Matt Klein 34%
Kaela Berg 13.0%
$28,188 Vol.
$28,188 Vol.
Matt Little
48%
Matt Klein
34%
Kaela Berg
23%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former Lakeville Mayor and State Senator Matt Little at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong February DFL CD2 precinct caucus straw poll win (43%) and recent endorsements from National Nurses United and local progressives like Indivisible. State Senator and physician Matt Klein trails closely at 36.5%, buoyed by his legislative experience and backing from groups like 314 Action Fund, while State Representative and union flight attendant Kaela Berg holds 21.6% amid EMILYs List support and a New York Times profile highlighting her outsider appeal. The race remains tight in this open seat—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—due to the pending DFL CD2 convention in early May, where endorsement could consolidate support ahead of the August 11 primary; shifts may hinge on fundraising disclosures, debates, or delegate momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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