On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.