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Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House

Market icon

Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House

Menefee 15 %+  100.0%

Menefee 10–15 % <1%

Menefee 5–10 % <1%

Menefee 0–5 % <1%

Polymarket

$26,257 Vol.

Menefee 15 %+  100.0%

Menefee 10–15 % <1%

Menefee 5–10 % <1%

Menefee 0–5 % <1%

Polymarket

$26,257 Vol.

Market icon

Menefee 15 %+

$22,335 Vol.

Oui

Market icon

Menefee 10–15 %

$975 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Menefee 5–10 %

$297 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Menefee 0–5 %

$308 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Edwards 0–5 %

$1,043 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Edwards 5 %+

$1,299 Vol.

Non

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$26,257
Date de fin
31 janv. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$26,257
Date de fin
31 janv. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Menefee 15 %+ » à 100%, suivi de « Menefee 10–15 % » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House » a généré $26.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House » est « Menefee 15 %+ » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Menefee 10–15 % » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Marge de victoire du deuxième tour des élections spéciales de Texas House » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.