Trader consensus on the Peru Senate Election Winner market—reflecting the party securing the most seats in the proportional representation Congress on April 12—slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 34.8% over Fuerza Popular (FP) at 29.5%, capturing late-March polling volatility where top parties like FP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Alianza para el Progreso (APP) cluster below 15% vote intention amid 20-25% undecideds. Recent Ipsos (March 21-22) and Datum surveys show shifting micro-leads, fueled by voter disillusionment from ongoing instability, including Congress's February oustings of interim presidents over graft allegations and surging crime concerns. The tight race persists due to fragmentation across 36 presidential contenders and no likely majority; separation hinges on final endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds like Lima, or coattails from presidential frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (RP) or Keiko Fujimori (FP).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Pérou
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Pérou
FP 42%
JP 36.3%
RP 15%
APP 7%
$14,209 Vol.
$14,209 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
31%
JP
36%
RP
15%
APP
7%
SP
3%
AvP
3%
PL
3%
PP
1%
AP
<1%
FP 42%
JP 36.3%
RP 15%
APP 7%
$14,209 Vol.
$14,209 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$951 Vol.
31%
JP
$7,934 Vol.
36%
RP
$916 Vol.
15%
APP
$1,081 Vol.
7%
SP
$517 Vol.
3%
AvP
$1,045 Vol.
3%
PL
$512 Vol.
3%
PP
$728 Vol.
1%
AP
$526 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on the Peru Senate Election Winner market—reflecting the party securing the most seats in the proportional representation Congress on April 12—slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 34.8% over Fuerza Popular (FP) at 29.5%, capturing late-March polling volatility where top parties like FP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Alianza para el Progreso (APP) cluster below 15% vote intention amid 20-25% undecideds. Recent Ipsos (March 21-22) and Datum surveys show shifting micro-leads, fueled by voter disillusionment from ongoing instability, including Congress's February oustings of interim presidents over graft allegations and surging crime concerns. The tight race persists due to fragmentation across 36 presidential contenders and no likely majority; separation hinges on final endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds like Lima, or coattails from presidential frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (RP) or Keiko Fujimori (FP).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$14,209Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on the Peru Senate Election Winner market—reflecting the party securing the most seats in the proportional representation Congress on April 12—slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 34.8% over Fuerza Popular (FP) at 29.5%, capturing late-March polling volatility where top parties like FP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Alianza para el Progreso (APP) cluster below 15% vote intention amid 20-25% undecideds. Recent Ipsos (March 21-22) and Datum surveys show shifting micro-leads, fueled by voter disillusionment from ongoing instability, including Congress's February oustings of interim presidents over graft allegations and surging crime concerns. The tight race persists due to fragmentation across 36 presidential contenders and no likely majority; separation hinges on final endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds like Lima, or coattails from presidential frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (RP) or Keiko Fujimori (FP).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$14,209Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Peru Senate Election Winner market—reflecting the party securing the most seats in the proportional representation Congress on April 12—slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 34.8% over Fuerza Popular (FP) at 29.5%, capturing late-March polling volatility where top parties like FP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Alianza para el Progreso (APP) cluster below 15% vote intention amid 20-25% undecideds. Recent Ipsos (March 21-22) and Datum surveys show shifting micro-leads, fueled by voter disillusionment from ongoing instability, including Congress's February oustings of interim presidents over graft allegations and surging crime concerns. The tight race persists due to fragmentation across 36 presidential contenders and no likely majority; separation hinges on final endorsements, regional turnout in battlegrounds like Lima, or coattails from presidential frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (RP) or Keiko Fujimori (FP).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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