Market icon
Politique·Primaires

PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Market icon
Politique·Primaires

PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 34.5%

Ala Stanford 24.4%

Morgan Cephas 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,736 Vol.

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 34.5%

Ala Stanford 24.4%

Morgan Cephas 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,736 Vol.

Sharif Street

$3,966 Vol.

39%

Chris Rabb

$1,825 Vol.

35%

Ala Stanford

$1,620 Vol.

24%

Morgan Cephas

$0 Vol.

3%

Robin Toldens

$0 Vol.

3%

David Oxman

$0 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Caceres

$3,326 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment support from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like Steamfitters Local 420 and Plumbers Local 690, Black Clergy, and former Gov. Ed Rendell. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 31.8%, buoyed by recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and Sunrise Movement in mid-March, consolidating left-wing backing in this deep-blue district. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds 24.8%, aided by top ballot position drawn March 18 and endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and ex-Mayor Michael Nutter, plus solid fundraising. State Rep. Morgan Cephas's March 27 withdrawal narrows the field to six viable contenders without endorsement, heightening consolidation risks; a WHYY debate on April 29 could tip momentum among undecided voters in West and North Philadelphia.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,736
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment support from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like Steamfitters Local 420 and Plumbers Local 690, Black Clergy, and former Gov. Ed Rendell. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 31.8%, buoyed by recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and Sunrise Movement in mid-March, consolidating left-wing backing in this deep-blue district. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds 24.8%, aided by top ballot position drawn March 18 and endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and ex-Mayor Michael Nutter, plus solid fundraising. State Rep. Morgan Cephas's March 27 withdrawal narrows the field to six viable contenders without endorsement, heightening consolidation risks; a WHYY debate on April 29 could tip momentum among undecided voters in West and North Philadelphia.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,736
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sharif Street » à 39%, suivi de « Chris Rabb » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » a généré $10.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est « Sharif Street » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chris Rabb » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « PA-03 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.