House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 district, rated Safe Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. The Brooklyn-based seat carries a D+24 partisan voter index, with Jeffries securing 75% in 2024 and larger margins previously against underfunded Republicans. No notable developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, as primaries loom on June 23 featuring Jeffries against Vance Bostic (Democrats) and lone Republican Richard Simmons. Odds could move on a bruising Democratic primary, major scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-08
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-08
$16,309 Vol.
$16,309 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
$16,309 Vol.
$16,309 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,774 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$7,535 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 district, rated Safe Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. The Brooklyn-based seat carries a D+24 partisan voter index, with Jeffries securing 75% in 2024 and larger margins previously against underfunded Republicans. No notable developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, as primaries loom on June 23 featuring Jeffries against Vance Bostic (Democrats) and lone Republican Richard Simmons. Odds could move on a bruising Democratic primary, major scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$16,309Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 district, rated Safe Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. The Brooklyn-based seat carries a D+24 partisan voter index, with Jeffries securing 75% in 2024 and larger margins previously against underfunded Republicans. No notable developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, as primaries loom on June 23 featuring Jeffries against Vance Bostic (Democrats) and lone Republican Richard Simmons. Odds could move on a bruising Democratic primary, major scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,309Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 district, rated Safe Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. The Brooklyn-based seat carries a D+24 partisan voter index, with Jeffries securing 75% in 2024 and larger margins previously against underfunded Republicans. No notable developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, as primaries loom on June 23 featuring Jeffries against Vance Bostic (Democrats) and lone Republican Richard Simmons. Odds could move on a bruising Democratic primary, major scandal, or national midterm wave, though barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes