In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner ahead of the June 2 vote, as top contenders Brad Cohen (31.5%), Adam Hamawy (28%), and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (26%) remain tightly bunched. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising disclosures—Hamawy at nearly $550,000 since January, Reynolds-Jackson raising $144,000 in Q1 for a $214,000 total, and Susan Altman over $400,000 early—underscore competitive resources without separation, alongside Cohen's March Middlesex County Democratic endorsement bolstering his local machine support. Absent public polls, the race stays fluid; upcoming county conventions, labor or progressive group nods, candidate forums, or internal surveys could consolidate support and shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAdam Hamawy 26%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Brad Cohen 24%
Susan Altman 17%
$18,055 Vol.
$18,055 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
26%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
25%
Brad Cohen
31%
Susan Altman
20%
Adrian Mapp
10%
Matthew Adams
4%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Elijah Dixon
9%
Michael Anderson
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Adam Hamawy 26%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Brad Cohen 24%
Susan Altman 17%
$18,055 Vol.
$18,055 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
26%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
25%
Brad Cohen
31%
Susan Altman
20%
Adrian Mapp
10%
Matthew Adams
4%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Elijah Dixon
9%
Michael Anderson
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner ahead of the June 2 vote, as top contenders Brad Cohen (31.5%), Adam Hamawy (28%), and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (26%) remain tightly bunched. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising disclosures—Hamawy at nearly $550,000 since January, Reynolds-Jackson raising $144,000 in Q1 for a $214,000 total, and Susan Altman over $400,000 early—underscore competitive resources without separation, alongside Cohen's March Middlesex County Democratic endorsement bolstering his local machine support. Absent public polls, the race stays fluid; upcoming county conventions, labor or progressive group nods, candidate forums, or internal surveys could consolidate support and shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes