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Élections·Groenland

Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?

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Élections·Groenland

Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?

Mette Frederiksen 92%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 3.9%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.8%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,234,732 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 92%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 3.9%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.8%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,234,732 Vol.

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Mette Frederiksen

$1,033,178 Vol.

92%

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Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$1,887,679 Vol.

4%

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Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,091,836 Vol.

3%

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Alex Vanopslagh

$625,936 Vol.

1%

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Mona Juul

$90,770 Vol.

<1%

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Lars Boje Mathiesen

$83,890 Vol.

<1%

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Inger Støjberg

$39,960 Vol.

<1%

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Martin Lidegaard

$36,698 Vol.

<1%

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Pia Olsen Dyhr

$120,807 Vol.

<1%

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Morten Messerschmidt

$175,281 Vol.

<1%

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Pelle Dragsted

$48,696 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors Mette Frederiksen as next prime minister, with her Social Democrats securing the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century. Frederiksen resigned her outgoing coalition government on March 25 but was appointed royal investigator by King Frederik X, positioning her to lead protracted coalition negotiations amid a fragmented proportional representation outcome—her left-leaning bloc at 84 seats short of the 90-seat majority, with centrists like Lars Løkke Rasmussen as potential kingmakers. This commanding 92.5% implied probability reflects tradition favoring the largest party's leader, bolstered by her handling of U.S. Greenland tensions; realistic challenges include failed talks shifting mandate to the right bloc or centrist defections on key issues like immigration and energy policy.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors Mette Frederiksen as next prime minister, with her Social Democrats securing the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century. Frederiksen resigned her outgoing coalition government on March 25 but was appointed royal investigator by King Frederik X, positioning her to lead protracted coalition negotiations amid a fragmented proportional representation outcome—her left-leaning bloc at 84 seats short of the 90-seat majority, with centrists like Lars Løkke Rasmussen as potential kingmakers. This commanding 92.5% implied probability reflects tradition favoring the largest party's leader, bolstered by her handling of U.S. Greenland tensions; realistic challenges include failed talks shifting mandate to the right bloc or centrist defections on key issues like immigration and energy policy.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors Mette Frederiksen as next prime minister, with her Social Democrats securing the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century. Frederiksen resigned her outgoing coalition government on March 25 but was appointed royal investigator by King Frederik X, positioning her to lead protracted coalition negotiations amid a fragmented proportional representation outcome—her left-leaning bloc at 84 seats short of the 90-seat majority, with centrists like Lars Løkke Rasmussen as potential kingmakers. This commanding 92.5% implied probability reflects tradition favoring the largest party's leader, bolstered by her handling of U.S. Greenland tensions; realistic challenges include failed talks shifting mandate to the right bloc or centrist defections on key issues like immigration and energy policy.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, trader consensus heavily favors Mette Frederiksen as next prime minister, with her Social Democrats securing the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century. Frederiksen resigned her outgoing coalition government on March 25 but was appointed royal investigator by King Frederik X, positioning her to lead protracted coalition negotiations amid a fragmented proportional representation outcome—her left-leaning bloc at 84 seats short of the 90-seat majority, with centrists like Lars Løkke Rasmussen as potential kingmakers. This commanding 92.5% implied probability reflects tradition favoring the largest party's leader, bolstered by her handling of U.S. Greenland tensions; realistic challenges include failed talks shifting mandate to the right bloc or centrist defections on key issues like immigration and energy policy.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mette Frederiksen » à 92%, suivi de « Lars Løkke Rasmussen » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » a généré $5.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » est « Mette Frederiksen » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lars Løkke Rasmussen » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.