Dan Cox holds a trader consensus lead at 52% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his 2022 nomination as the Trump-aligned nominee and enduring appeal to the party's energized base amid post-2024 election dynamics favoring MAGA-aligned candidates. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.5%, bolstered by self-funding potential and outsider appeal in a fragmented field lacking a clear moderate frontrunner. Former Governor Larry Hogan sits at just 3.8% despite past popularity, reflecting trader skepticism over his anti-Trump stance and decision not to actively campaign early. No major developments like new polls, endorsements, or candidate announcements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift positioning, leaving name recognition and base support as key factors ahead of the 2026 primary cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDan Cox 52%
Ed Hale 32.5%
Christopher Bouchat 6%
Steve Hershey 4.0%
$166,676 Vol.
$166,676 Vol.
Dan Cox
52%
Ed Hale
33%
Christopher Bouchat
6%
Steve Hershey
4%
Larry Hogan
4%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
Carl Brunner
2%
John Myrick
2%
Dan Cox 52%
Ed Hale 32.5%
Christopher Bouchat 6%
Steve Hershey 4.0%
$166,676 Vol.
$166,676 Vol.
Dan Cox
52%
Ed Hale
33%
Christopher Bouchat
6%
Steve Hershey
4%
Larry Hogan
4%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
Carl Brunner
2%
John Myrick
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Cox holds a trader consensus lead at 52% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his 2022 nomination as the Trump-aligned nominee and enduring appeal to the party's energized base amid post-2024 election dynamics favoring MAGA-aligned candidates. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 32.5%, bolstered by self-funding potential and outsider appeal in a fragmented field lacking a clear moderate frontrunner. Former Governor Larry Hogan sits at just 3.8% despite past popularity, reflecting trader skepticism over his anti-Trump stance and decision not to actively campaign early. No major developments like new polls, endorsements, or candidate announcements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift positioning, leaving name recognition and base support as key factors ahead of the 2026 primary cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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