Former state Rep. Reilly Neill dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, fueled by her early post-2024 announcement, legislative experience, and overwhelming fundraising lead—$147,000 raised through late 2025 versus under $15,000 for rivals—enabling sustained grassroots visibility. Lacking public primary polls, challengers like Tribal officer Michael Black Wolf (5.5%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5.4%), Kathleen McLaughlin (5.1%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (4.2%) hold slim odds despite recent media on rural healthcare, housing, and accountability. No endorsements, debates, or shifts in the past week have dented her organizational edge in this open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourReilly Neill 86%
Kathleen McLaughlin 5.2%
Michael Hummert 4.8%
Alani Bankhead 4.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Reilly Neill
86%
Kathleen McLaughlin
5%
Michael Hummert
5%
Alani Bankhead
5%
Michael BlackWolf
4%
Reilly Neill 86%
Kathleen McLaughlin 5.2%
Michael Hummert 4.8%
Alani Bankhead 4.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Reilly Neill
$4,011 Vol.
86%
Kathleen McLaughlin
$45 Vol.
5%
Michael Hummert
$0 Vol.
5%
Alani Bankhead
$937 Vol.
5%
Michael BlackWolf
$51 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former state Rep. Reilly Neill dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, fueled by her early post-2024 announcement, legislative experience, and overwhelming fundraising lead—$147,000 raised through late 2025 versus under $15,000 for rivals—enabling sustained grassroots visibility. Lacking public primary polls, challengers like Tribal officer Michael Black Wolf (5.5%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5.4%), Kathleen McLaughlin (5.1%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (4.2%) hold slim odds despite recent media on rural healthcare, housing, and accountability. No endorsements, debates, or shifts in the past week have dented her organizational edge in this open field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$5,044Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former state Rep. Reilly Neill dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, fueled by her early post-2024 announcement, legislative experience, and overwhelming fundraising lead—$147,000 raised through late 2025 versus under $15,000 for rivals—enabling sustained grassroots visibility. Lacking public primary polls, challengers like Tribal officer Michael Black Wolf (5.5%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5.4%), Kathleen McLaughlin (5.1%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (4.2%) hold slim odds despite recent media on rural healthcare, housing, and accountability. No endorsements, debates, or shifts in the past week have dented her organizational edge in this open field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,044Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former state Rep. Reilly Neill dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, fueled by her early post-2024 announcement, legislative experience, and overwhelming fundraising lead—$147,000 raised through late 2025 versus under $15,000 for rivals—enabling sustained grassroots visibility. Lacking public primary polls, challengers like Tribal officer Michael Black Wolf (5.5%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5.4%), Kathleen McLaughlin (5.1%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (4.2%) hold slim odds despite recent media on rural healthcare, housing, and accountability. No endorsements, debates, or shifts in the past week have dented her organizational edge in this open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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