Trader consensus on Polymarket gives U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids a 51.5% implied probability to win Kansas's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, reflecting her incumbency in the battleground 3rd Congressional District, proven fundraising strength, and moderate appeal in a red-leaning state, despite not yet declaring candidacy amid speculation tied to potential redistricting. The crowded field of eight declared challengers—including Christy Davis at 20.5%, former USDA official emphasizing rural issues—fragments opposition, with lower probabilities for Sandy Spidel Neumann, Patrick Schmidt, Michael Soetaert, and Anne Parelkar due to limited name recognition and fundraising. Recent March announcements by Noah Taylor and Jason Hart added to the field without polls to shift dynamics; June 1 filing deadline looms as key catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSharice Davids 52%
Christy Davis 21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.4%
Michael Soetaert 5.4%
$31,899 Vol.
$31,899 Vol.
Sharice Davids
52%
Christy Davis
21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
9%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
Sharice Davids 52%
Christy Davis 21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 9.4%
Michael Soetaert 5.4%
$31,899 Vol.
$31,899 Vol.
Sharice Davids
52%
Christy Davis
21%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
9%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
7%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids a 51.5% implied probability to win Kansas's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, reflecting her incumbency in the battleground 3rd Congressional District, proven fundraising strength, and moderate appeal in a red-leaning state, despite not yet declaring candidacy amid speculation tied to potential redistricting. The crowded field of eight declared challengers—including Christy Davis at 20.5%, former USDA official emphasizing rural issues—fragments opposition, with lower probabilities for Sandy Spidel Neumann, Patrick Schmidt, Michael Soetaert, and Anne Parelkar due to limited name recognition and fundraising. Recent March announcements by Noah Taylor and Jason Hart added to the field without polls to shift dynamics; June 1 filing deadline looms as key catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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