Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats at 36.5% slightly edging 22–23 at 30.5%, implying modest net losses from the current 26 amid 36 races including 20 opens. Driving this positioning, Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings updated March 19 shifted six races toward Democrats—notably Arizona incumbent to Lean D, Georgia open to Toss-up, and Ohio open to Lean R—highlighting vulnerabilities in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Offsetting risks, recent California polls show Republicans leading the fragmented open primary despite Solid D ratings elsewhere, while GOP incumbents hold firm in Solid/Likely R states. Upcoming spring primaries and midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency could tip balances in toss-ups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour24–25 37%
22–23 31%
<22 16%
26–27 9%
$27,718 Vol.
$27,718 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
16%
22–23
31%
24–25
37%
26–27
9%
28–29
5%
30–31
2%
32+
6%
24–25 37%
22–23 31%
<22 16%
26–27 9%
$27,718 Vol.
$27,718 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$0 Vol.
16%
22–23
$0 Vol.
31%
24–25
$27,718 Vol.
37%
26–27
$0 Vol.
9%
28–29
$0 Vol.
5%
30–31
$0 Vol.
2%
32+
$0 Vol.
6%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats at 36.5% slightly edging 22–23 at 30.5%, implying modest net losses from the current 26 amid 36 races including 20 opens. Driving this positioning, Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings updated March 19 shifted six races toward Democrats—notably Arizona incumbent to Lean D, Georgia open to Toss-up, and Ohio open to Lean R—highlighting vulnerabilities in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Offsetting risks, recent California polls show Republicans leading the fragmented open primary despite Solid D ratings elsewhere, while GOP incumbents hold firm in Solid/Likely R states. Upcoming spring primaries and midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency could tip balances in toss-ups.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$27,718Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats at 36.5% slightly edging 22–23 at 30.5%, implying modest net losses from the current 26 amid 36 races including 20 opens. Driving this positioning, Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings updated March 19 shifted six races toward Democrats—notably Arizona incumbent to Lean D, Georgia open to Toss-up, and Ohio open to Lean R—highlighting vulnerabilities in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Offsetting risks, recent California polls show Republicans leading the fragmented open primary despite Solid D ratings elsewhere, while GOP incumbents hold firm in Solid/Likely R states. Upcoming spring primaries and midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency could tip balances in toss-ups.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$27,718Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest for Republican governorships post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats at 36.5% slightly edging 22–23 at 30.5%, implying modest net losses from the current 26 amid 36 races including 20 opens. Driving this positioning, Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings updated March 19 shifted six races toward Democrats—notably Arizona incumbent to Lean D, Georgia open to Toss-up, and Ohio open to Lean R—highlighting vulnerabilities in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Offsetting risks, recent California polls show Republicans leading the fragmented open primary despite Solid D ratings elsewhere, while GOP incumbents hold firm in Solid/Likely R states. Upcoming spring primaries and midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency could tip balances in toss-ups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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