The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) short-range forecast, updated April 1, projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and morning haze, driving trader caution but not fully reflected in market-implied odds where 14°C holds a 74% probability and 15°C 24%. Current observations at 5:00 KST show 9°C with 74% humidity and smog, suggesting steady daytime warming amid weak southerly flow, though persistent cloud cover and inversion layers could cap intensity. Ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather indicate potential highs near 17–18°C if haze clears, aligning with early April climatological averages of 12–16°C; real-time KMA hourly updates and end-of-day station data will clarify resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 92%
15°C 7%
16°C or higher <1%
7°C <1%
$287,708 Vol.
$287,708 Vol.
7°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
92%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 92%
15°C 7%
16°C or higher <1%
7°C <1%
$287,708 Vol.
$287,708 Vol.
7°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
92%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) short-range forecast, updated April 1, projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and morning haze, driving trader caution but not fully reflected in market-implied odds where 14°C holds a 74% probability and 15°C 24%. Current observations at 5:00 KST show 9°C with 74% humidity and smog, suggesting steady daytime warming amid weak southerly flow, though persistent cloud cover and inversion layers could cap intensity. Ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather indicate potential highs near 17–18°C if haze clears, aligning with early April climatological averages of 12–16°C; real-time KMA hourly updates and end-of-day station data will clarify resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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