Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event model consensus from KMA forecasts predicting daytime highs around 14°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula, cooler than Seoul's urban center readings near 17°C influenced by the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified observational data, with final daily summaries now published. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits, though KMA records are highly reliable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$428,681 Vol.
$428,681 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$428,681 Vol.
$428,681 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event model consensus from KMA forecasts predicting daytime highs around 14°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula, cooler than Seoul's urban center readings near 17°C influenced by the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified observational data, with final daily summaries now published. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits, though KMA records are highly reliable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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