Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 33–35°C (79% combined implied probability), driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a maximum of 34°C amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave in Uttar Pradesh. Differentiating factors include short-range model divergence—ECMWF leaning cooler at 33°C due to anticipated northerly winds enhancing ventilation, while GFS hints at 35°C from sustained solar insolation and low humidity. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 32°C earlier in the week, with minimal cloud cover expected; however, any afternoon haze or urban heat island effects could nudge outcomes higher, underscoring the 1–2°C uncertainty inherent in mesoscale forecasts. Key watch: IMD's evening update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 17%
32°C or below
11%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
5%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 17%
32°C or below
11%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
7%
38°C
5%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 33–35°C (79% combined implied probability), driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a maximum of 34°C amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave in Uttar Pradesh. Differentiating factors include short-range model divergence—ECMWF leaning cooler at 33°C due to anticipated northerly winds enhancing ventilation, while GFS hints at 35°C from sustained solar insolation and low humidity. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 32°C earlier in the week, with minimal cloud cover expected; however, any afternoon haze or urban heat island effects could nudge outcomes higher, underscoring the 1–2°C uncertainty inherent in mesoscale forecasts. Key watch: IMD's evening update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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