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GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ?

Market icon

GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ?

Clayton Fuller 96.8%

Shawn Harris 3.5%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,682 Vol.

Clayton Fuller 96.8%

Shawn Harris 3.5%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,682 Vol.

Clayton Fuller

$58,291 Vol.

97%

Shawn Harris

$100,892 Vol.

3%

Colton Moore

$18,538 Vol.

<1%

Chuck Hufstetler

$3,071 Vol.

<1%

Katie Dempsey

$6,226 Vol.

<1%

Jason Anavitarte

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Criswell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Strahan

$3,546 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Flowers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Paul Smith

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trey Kelley

$3,428 Vol.

<1%

Rob Ruszkowski

$6,808 Vol.

<1%

Holly McCormack

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brian Stover

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Cowan

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

Kasey Carpenter

$3,858 Vol.

<1%

Star Black

$7,222 Vol.

<1%

Laura Loomer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elvis Casely

$4,549 Vol.

<1%

Martin Momtahan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matt Barton

$3,273 Vol.

<1%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$3,764 Vol.

<1%

Clarence Blalock

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eddie Lumsden

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election on April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI—the most Republican-leaning in Georgia—and his key endorsement from President Trump, which helped him secure second place with 35% in the March 10 nonpartisan primary despite Democrat Shawn Harris's 37% lead from a crowded 21-candidate field. GOP voters are expected to consolidate behind Fuller in this safe Republican seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene, with early voting underway through April 2 showing low turnout so far. Upsets would require a major scandal, Trump endorsement withdrawal, or unexpected Democratic surge, though historical base rates in deep-red special elections make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,682
Date de fin
15 févr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff election on April 7, trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI—the most Republican-leaning in Georgia—and his key endorsement from President Trump, which helped him secure second place with 35% in the March 10 nonpartisan primary despite Democrat Shawn Harris's 37% lead from a crowded 21-candidate field. GOP voters are expected to consolidate behind Fuller in this safe Republican seat vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene, with early voting underway through April 2 showing low turnout so far. Upsets would require a major scandal, Trump endorsement withdrawal, or unexpected Democratic surge, though historical base rates in deep-red special elections make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,682
Date de fin
15 févr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

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Questions fréquentes

« GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 24 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Clayton Fuller » à 97%, suivi de « Shawn Harris » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ? » a généré $227.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 26, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ? », parcourez les 24 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ? » est « Clayton Fuller » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shawn Harris » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « GA-14 vainqueur d'une élection spéciale ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.