Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 75% in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polls showing GOP frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading Democratic challengers David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) in the Emerson College survey of March 29-31. This edge stems from Florida's rightward shift, bolstered by Donalds' Trump endorsement, record $22 million Q1 fundraising, and historical GOP dominance in battleground state turnout. Democrats gained momentum flipping two legislative seats in late March special elections, but statewide polling averages like UNF's early March results hold Republicans ahead by single digits ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
74%
Démocrate
24%
$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$4,238 Vol.
74%
Démocrate
$6,664 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 75% in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polls showing GOP frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading Democratic challengers David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) in the Emerson College survey of March 29-31. This edge stems from Florida's rightward shift, bolstered by Donalds' Trump endorsement, record $22 million Q1 fundraising, and historical GOP dominance in battleground state turnout. Democrats gained momentum flipping two legislative seats in late March special elections, but statewide polling averages like UNF's early March results hold Republicans ahead by single digits ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$10,903Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 75% in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polls showing GOP frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading Democratic challengers David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) in the Emerson College survey of March 29-31. This edge stems from Florida's rightward shift, bolstered by Donalds' Trump endorsement, record $22 million Q1 fundraising, and historical GOP dominance in battleground state turnout. Democrats gained momentum flipping two legislative seats in late March special elections, but statewide polling averages like UNF's early March results hold Republicans ahead by single digits ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,903Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 75% in the open-seat Florida gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polls showing GOP frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading Democratic challengers David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) in the Emerson College survey of March 29-31. This edge stems from Florida's rightward shift, bolstered by Donalds' Trump endorsement, record $22 million Q1 fundraising, and historical GOP dominance in battleground state turnout. Democrats gained momentum flipping two legislative seats in late March special elections, but statewide polling averages like UNF's early March results hold Republicans ahead by single digits ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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