In Bolivia's fragmented subnational elections on March 22, 2026, the Cochabamba governor race drew a wide field of candidates, yielding no outright listed frontrunner in trader consensus despite official results proclaiming Leonardo Loza (A-UPP) winner with 40.4%. Alejandro Mostajo Rueda leads Polymarket at 17% implied probability on his Movimiento Tercer Sistema (MTS) platform, differentiating via engineering expertise, anti-corruption focus, and post-vote claims of rural vote irregularities that sustain skepticism. Sergio Oliver Rodríguez (Súmate, conservative) trails at 3%, buoyed by pre-election Databol polls but limited consolidation. Support could shift through endorsements, coalition talks, or TSE appeals, with inauguration slated for May amid ongoing certification scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Cochabamba (Bolivie)
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Cochabamba (Bolivie)
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 17.0%
Mario Enrique Severich 3.9%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 3.0%
Ruth Alina Peralta 2.1%
$22,472 Vol.
$22,472 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
17%
Mario Enrique Severich
4%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
2%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
1%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
Juan Roberth Flores
5%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 17.0%
Mario Enrique Severich 3.9%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 3.0%
Ruth Alina Peralta 2.1%
$22,472 Vol.
$22,472 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
17%
Mario Enrique Severich
4%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
2%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
1%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
Juan Roberth Flores
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's fragmented subnational elections on March 22, 2026, the Cochabamba governor race drew a wide field of candidates, yielding no outright listed frontrunner in trader consensus despite official results proclaiming Leonardo Loza (A-UPP) winner with 40.4%. Alejandro Mostajo Rueda leads Polymarket at 17% implied probability on his Movimiento Tercer Sistema (MTS) platform, differentiating via engineering expertise, anti-corruption focus, and post-vote claims of rural vote irregularities that sustain skepticism. Sergio Oliver Rodríguez (Súmate, conservative) trails at 3%, buoyed by pre-election Databol polls but limited consolidation. Support could shift through endorsements, coalition talks, or TSE appeals, with inauguration slated for May amid ongoing certification scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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