In Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, Leonardo Loza of A-UPP secured the Cochabamba governorship in the first round with 40.4% of votes per official Tribunal Electoral Departamental count concluded March 28, exceeding the 40% threshold plus 10-point lead over Sergio Oliver Rodríguez's 23.4%. Among listed candidates, Alejandro Mostajo Rueda (MTS) leads trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability after a strong third-place 14.2% vote share, driven by his anti-corruption platform as former student leader emphasizing roads, water, and jobs. Mario Enrique Severich (5.9%) trails due to modest support for his education and infrastructure proposals from Colcapirhua model. Fragmented field favors no consolidation; market awaits Tribunal Supremo Electoral final certification amid minimal challenge risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Cochabamba (Bolivie)
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Cochabamba (Bolivie)
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 17.6%
Mario Enrique Severich 5.9%
Juan Roberth Flores 3.6%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales 3.6%
$12,700 Vol.
$12,700 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
18%
Mario Enrique Severich
6%
Juan Roberth Flores
4%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
4%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
3%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
2%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 17.6%
Mario Enrique Severich 5.9%
Juan Roberth Flores 3.6%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales 3.6%
$12,700 Vol.
$12,700 Vol.
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
18%
Mario Enrique Severich
6%
Juan Roberth Flores
4%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
4%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
3%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
3%
Ruth Alina Peralta
2%
Esther Soria Gonzales
2%
Remigio Ancalle
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, Leonardo Loza of A-UPP secured the Cochabamba governorship in the first round with 40.4% of votes per official Tribunal Electoral Departamental count concluded March 28, exceeding the 40% threshold plus 10-point lead over Sergio Oliver Rodríguez's 23.4%. Among listed candidates, Alejandro Mostajo Rueda (MTS) leads trader consensus at 17.6% implied probability after a strong third-place 14.2% vote share, driven by his anti-corruption platform as former student leader emphasizing roads, water, and jobs. Mario Enrique Severich (5.9%) trails due to modest support for his education and infrastructure proposals from Colcapirhua model. Fragmented field favors no consolidation; market awaits Tribunal Supremo Electoral final certification amid minimal challenge risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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