Market icon
Monde·Brésil

Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ?

Market icon
Monde·Brésil

Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ?

avr. 28

juin 16

avr. 28

juin 16

Baisse 85%

Pas de changement 15%

Augmentation <1%

Polymarket

$195,878 Vol.

Baisse 85%

Pas de changement 15%

Augmentation <1%

Polymarket

$195,878 Vol.

Augmentation

$109,117 Vol.

1%

Pas de changement

$41,524 Vol.

15%

Baisse

$45,237 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 28–29, following the committee's cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18—the first easing move after holding steady at 15% through prior meetings. This shift reflects cooling inflation, with February's annual IPCA at 3.81%, the lowest since April 2024, alongside decelerating economic activity, though tempered by elevated 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1% from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions. No change trades at 15%, signaling caution on geopolitical risks, while hikes at 0.7% face significant barriers absent renewed inflationary pressures; minutes emphasize data-dependent forward guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$195,878
Date de fin
28 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 28–29, following the committee's cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18—the first easing move after holding steady at 15% through prior meetings. This shift reflects cooling inflation, with February's annual IPCA at 3.81%, the lowest since April 2024, alongside decelerating economic activity, though tempered by elevated 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1% from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions. No change trades at 15%, signaling caution on geopolitical risks, while hikes at 0.7% face significant barriers absent renewed inflationary pressures; minutes emphasize data-dependent forward guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$195,878
Date de fin
28 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Baisse » à 85%, suivi de « Pas de changement » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 85¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ? » a généré $195.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ? » est « Baisse » à 85%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pas de changement » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque du Brésil en avril ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.