Rep. Barry Moore's recent polling lead and strong endorsements have driven trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for him winning Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, positioning him ahead in the race for Sen. Tommy Tuberville's open seat after the incumbent's gubernatorial bid. The latest American Pulse survey (March 30-April 1) shows Moore at 26%, topping AG Steve Marshall (21%) and outsider Jared Hudson (14%) amid 35% undecideds, reflecting momentum from President Trump's January backing—valued by 61% of GOP primary voters—plus nods from Sens. Thune, Scott, and Daines. Moore's fundraising dominance and $6 million-plus in super PAC support from Club for Growth and crypto allies further solidify his edge in a fragmented field likely headed to a June runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBarry Moore 81%
Steve Marshall 9%
Jared Hudson 6.3%
Morgan Murphy 1.3%
$47,354 Vol.
$47,354 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Steve Marshall
9%
Jared Hudson
6%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 81%
Steve Marshall 9%
Jared Hudson 6.3%
Morgan Murphy 1.3%
$47,354 Vol.
$47,354 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Steve Marshall
9%
Jared Hudson
6%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Barry Moore's recent polling lead and strong endorsements have driven trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for him winning Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, positioning him ahead in the race for Sen. Tommy Tuberville's open seat after the incumbent's gubernatorial bid. The latest American Pulse survey (March 30-April 1) shows Moore at 26%, topping AG Steve Marshall (21%) and outsider Jared Hudson (14%) amid 35% undecideds, reflecting momentum from President Trump's January backing—valued by 61% of GOP primary voters—plus nods from Sens. Thune, Scott, and Daines. Moore's fundraising dominance and $6 million-plus in super PAC support from Club for Growth and crypto allies further solidify his edge in a fragmented field likely headed to a June runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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