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Politique·Corée Du Sud

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul

Market icon
Politique·Corée Du Sud

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul

Chong Won-oh 66%

Oh Se-hoon 16%

Park Ju-min 11.1%

Cho Eun-hee <1%

Polymarket

$10,202,287 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 66%

Oh Se-hoon 16%

Park Ju-min 11.1%

Cho Eun-hee <1%

Polymarket

$10,202,287 Vol.

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Chong Won-oh

$314,422 Vol.

66%

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Oh Se-hoon

$566,602 Vol.

16%

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Park Ju-min

$412,725 Vol.

11%

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Cho Eun-hee

$1,179,966 Vol.

<1%

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Ahn Cheol-soo

$605,983 Vol.

<1%

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Park Yong-jin

$1,168,132 Vol.

<1%

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Hong Ihk-pyo

$847,627 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Kuk

$671,163 Vol.

<1%

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Na Kyung-won

$902,526 Vol.

<1%

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Park Hong-keun

$789,631 Vol.

<1%

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Seo Young-kyo

$882,677 Vol.

<1%

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Jeon Hyun-heui

$744,700 Vol.

<1%

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Kang Hoon-sik

$411,878 Vol.

<1%

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Han Dong-hoon

$709,980 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party of Korea frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his commanding lead in the party's ongoing primary following the March 31 TV debate where rivals Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui scrutinized his housing and welfare policies as lacking substance yet failed to close the gap. Recent head-to-head polls, including News1's March 31 survey showing Chong at 42.6% versus incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28%, underscore his edge from a successful Seongdong District mayoral tenure and endorsements tied to party leadership. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16% amid People Power Party primary challenges and sagging approval ratings near 19%, while Park Ju-min holds 11.1% on upset potential in the Democratic primary vote. Primaries conclude soon, setting general election matchups.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$10,202,287
Date de fin
3 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party of Korea frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his commanding lead in the party's ongoing primary following the March 31 TV debate where rivals Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui scrutinized his housing and welfare policies as lacking substance yet failed to close the gap. Recent head-to-head polls, including News1's March 31 survey showing Chong at 42.6% versus incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28%, underscore his edge from a successful Seongdong District mayoral tenure and endorsements tied to party leadership. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16% amid People Power Party primary challenges and sagging approval ratings near 19%, while Park Ju-min holds 11.1% on upset potential in the Democratic primary vote. Primaries conclude soon, setting general election matchups.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$10,202,287
Date de fin
3 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chong Won-oh » à 66%, suivi de « Oh Se-hoon » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 66¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul » a généré $10.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul » est « Chong Won-oh » à 66%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Oh Se-hoon » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.