Market icon

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Market icon

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,208,854 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,208,854 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.
Volume
$1,208,854
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.
Volume
$1,208,854
End Date
May 31, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.