Easing geopolitical tensions in the US-Iran conflict propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs during the week of April 13, with SPY surging from a Monday open near $677 to intraday peaks above $701 and a Friday close around $710, reflecting a roughly 4% weekly gain that erased prior war-related losses. Strong tech sector leadership and optimism over President Trump's truce signals drove trader consensus toward bullish pricing, amid steady March 2026 CPI at 0.2% month-over-month and unemployment holding near 4.2%. Implied probabilities aligned with this momentum, though volatility persists; watch Thursday's initial jobless claims and S&P flash PMIs for next week's directional cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$37,339 Vol.
↑ $715
No
↑ $710
Yes
↑ $705
Yes
↑ $700
Yes
↑ $695
Yes
↑ $690
Yes
↑ $685
Yes
↓ $680
Yes
↓ $675
No
↓ $670
No
↓ $665
No
↓ $660
No
↓ $655
No
↓ $650
No
$37,339 Vol.
↑ $715
No
↑ $710
Yes
↑ $705
Yes
↑ $700
Yes
↑ $695
Yes
↑ $690
Yes
↑ $685
Yes
↓ $680
Yes
↓ $675
No
↓ $670
No
↓ $665
No
↓ $660
No
↓ $655
No
↓ $650
No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Easing geopolitical tensions in the US-Iran conflict propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs during the week of April 13, with SPY surging from a Monday open near $677 to intraday peaks above $701 and a Friday close around $710, reflecting a roughly 4% weekly gain that erased prior war-related losses. Strong tech sector leadership and optimism over President Trump's truce signals drove trader consensus toward bullish pricing, amid steady March 2026 CPI at 0.2% month-over-month and unemployment holding near 4.2%. Implied probabilities aligned with this momentum, though volatility persists; watch Thursday's initial jobless claims and S&P flash PMIs for next week's directional cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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