Russian forces have conducted repeated ground attacks and airstrikes in the Velykyi Burluk sector of Kharkiv Oblast, including on Khatnie itself in May 2026, to improve logistics and pressure Ukrainian positions east of the Oskil River toward Kupyansk. Ukrainian counterattacks and defensive lines have so far blocked any confirmed territorial capture according to open-source mapping. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability for near-term Russian entry, consistent with the incremental pace of advances amid attrition and reinforcements. Scheduled or potential developments in the coming months, such as shifts in manpower or artillery support, could influence further movement in the sector.