Market icon

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by...?

$870,706 Vol.

Sep 30, 2025

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Pokrovsk train station (48.284816377539386, 37.180016843748454) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The train station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the train station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pokrovsk+train+station.jpeg

Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7cfvanMFiovHG2mp8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Volume
$870,706
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 27, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Pokrovsk train station (48.284816377539386, 37.180016843748454) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the train station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pokrovsk+train+station.jpeg Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7cfvanMFiovHG2mp8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by...?

$870,706 Vol.

September 30

$108,743 Vol.

No

October 31

$494,468 Vol.

Yes

November 30

$119,406 Vol.

Yes

December 31

$148,090 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume
$870,706
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 27, 2025, 5:00 PM ET

Beware of external links.