Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?
$3,966,577 Vol.
Mar 31, 2025
March 31
$227,698 Vol.
No
March 31
$227,698 Vol.
No
June 30
$577,005 Vol.
No
June 30
$577,005 Vol.
No
August 31
$1,797,522 Vol.
Yes
August 31
$1,797,522 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$405,546 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$405,546 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$958,806 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$958,806 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures St. Michael's church in Pokrovsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png
Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures St. Michael's church in Pokrovsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png
Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png
Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Created At: Jan 30, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,966,577End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?
$3,966,577 Vol.
March 31
$227,698 Vol.
No
June 30
$577,005 Vol.
No
August 31
$1,797,522 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$405,546 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$958,806 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$3,966,577End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.