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Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$422,425 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$422,425 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between July 22, 5:00 PM ET, and July 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A public appearance includes for example Biden descending the steps from Air Force One, or an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For example, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$422,425
End Date
Jul 23, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2024, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between July 22, 5:00 PM ET, and July 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes for example Biden descending the steps from Air Force One, or an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For example, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between July 22, 5:00 PM ET, and July 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A public appearance includes for example Biden descending the steps from Air Force One, or an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For example, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$422,425
End Date
Jul 23, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2024, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between July 22, 5:00 PM ET, and July 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes for example Biden descending the steps from Air Force One, or an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For example, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?" has generated $422.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.