Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
$287,498 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 13, 4:00 PM ET, and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: May 13, 2025, 7:51 PM UTC
Volume
$287,498End Date
May 16, 2025Created At
May 13, 2025, 7:51 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$287,498 Vol.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 13, 4:00 PM ET, and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$287,498End Date
May 16, 2025Created At
May 13, 2025, 7:51 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.