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Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?

Market icon

Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?

$478,223 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$478,223 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$104,592 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,000

$48,120 Vol.

1%

↑ $6,600

$25,422 Vol.

2%

↑ $6,400

$15,615 Vol.

3%

↑ $6,200

$11,170 Vol.

4%

↑ $6,000

$6,194 Vol.

6%

↑ $5,800

$19,779 Vol.

8%

↑ $5,600

$11,077 Vol.

26%

↑ $5,500

$18,632 Vol.

32%

↑ $5,400

$13,588 Vol.

53%

↓ $5,000

$1,317 Vol.

54%

↓ $4,900

$491 Vol.

53%

↓ $4,700

$683 Vol.

30%

↓ $4,500

$1,448 Vol.

13%

↓ $4,300

$7,582 Vol.

3%

↓ $4,000

$5,225 Vol.

2%

↓ $3,600

$1,595 Vol.

1%

↓ $3,000

$42,254 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$478,223
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $5,200" at 100%, followed by "↓ $5,100" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" has generated $478.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" is "↓ $5,200" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $5,100" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.