Market icon

Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by...?

$99,212 Vol.

Sep 30, 2025

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. court blocks the implementation of any portion of the $100,000 payment requirement for H-1B visa petitions announced in “Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers” (Presidential Proclamation, Sept 19, 2025) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation—e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order—will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,212
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Sep 20, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. court blocks the implementation of any portion of the $100,000 payment requirement for H-1B visa petitions announced in “Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers” (Presidential Proclamation, Sept 19, 2025) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation—e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order—will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by...?

$99,212 Vol.

September 30

$95,568 Vol.

No

October 31

$3,644 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$99,212
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Sep 20, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Beware of external links.