Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$1,613,045 Vol.
$1,613,045 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,613,045End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$1,613,045 Vol.
$1,613,045 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,613,045End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.