Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

Jamie Dimon

$0 Vol.

59%

Dinorah Figuera

$0 Vol.

58%

Karoline Leavitt

$0 Vol.

26%

Dan Caine

$1,170 Vol.

17%

Edmundo González Urrutia

$0 Vol.

11%

Larry Fink

$0 Vol.

6%

Jared Kushner

$1,016 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump

$3,189 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$8,552 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$1,775 Vol.

<1%

JD Vance

$1,717 Vol.

<1%

Emmanuel Macron

$3,445 Vol.

<1%

Keir Starmer

$3,001 Vol.

<1%

María Corina Machado

$18,777 Vol.

<1%

Nicolás Maduro

$13,780 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grenell

$637 Vol.

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If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid Nicolás Maduro's ouster by US forces in January 2026 and his ongoing New York trial—highlighted by a March 26 court appearance—Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced diplomatic normalization, with the US and Caracas reestablishing full relations on March 5. US Interior Secretary Doug Burgum's early March visit to Caracas secured $100 million in gold repatriation for American refiners, alongside talks on oil, mining reforms, and security with Diosdado Cabello. Multinational business delegations arrived March 25, signaling investment interest, while prior military visits like General Francis Donovan's underscored stability efforts. Traders weighed these Trump administration engagements for potential high-level trips, though no further marquee visits from figures like CIA Director John Ratcliffe occurred by the March 31 deadline.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,005
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid Nicolás Maduro's ouster by US forces in January 2026 and his ongoing New York trial—highlighted by a March 26 court appearance—Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has advanced diplomatic normalization, with the US and Caracas reestablishing full relations on March 5. US Interior Secretary Doug Burgum's early March visit to Caracas secured $100 million in gold repatriation for American refiners, alongside talks on oil, mining reforms, and security with Diosdado Cabello. Multinational business delegations arrived March 25, signaling investment interest, while prior military visits like General Francis Donovan's underscored stability efforts. Traders weighed these Trump administration engagements for potential high-level trips, though no further marquee visits from figures like CIA Director John Ratcliffe occurred by the March 31 deadline.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,005
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Ratcliffe" at 100%, followed by "Charles Myers" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" has generated $62K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" is "John Ratcliffe" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Myers" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.